Weekly Review and Outlook

7th to 11th Feb 2022

And so we ended the month of January 2022 with a down month. It’s not a rosy picture to start the year, but it is what it is. Just before the year started, I wrote a post on 2022 being a difficult year for the stock market.

And based on seasonal statistics, there is a good 70% probability the S&P500 would drop between 4th January to 8th February. These statistics played out nicely.

Moving forward, there is a 90% probability that the S&P500 would rally between 8th February to 18th March, with an…